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I post con tag "Osama Bin Laden" archivio

La campagna presidenziale dopo Osama

Res publica   02.05.11  

The news will also, almost certainly, trigger a significant improvement in Mr. Obama's approval rating.

The sense in which I'd urge caution is that the former is not equal to the latter. Yes, this is going to help Mr Obama — to some degree or another - in November 2012. And yes, it's also going to make Mr Obama look much more formidable in the near-term.

But I'm not sure that the magnitude of the bump that Mr Obama might get in the Gallup tracking poll is going to be especially predictive of how much the residue of this news might produce for him 19 months from now.

In 1991, the top 8 or 10 Democratic candidates skipped the presidential race because George HW Bush seemed unbeatable in the wake of the popular Gulf War. But by November 1992, Mr. Bush's approval ratings were in the 30s, and Bill Clinton defeated him easily - as most any Democratic candidate would have.

That is not to suggest that this news won't be helpful to the President. Of course it will help him.

Per Nate Silver il presidente Obama non si avvantaggerà più di tanto dalla morte di Osama bin Laden in vista delle presidenziali del prossimo anno.

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Il buen retiro di Osama

Res publica   02.05.11  

"When we saw the compound, we were shocked by what we saw: an extraordinarily unique compound."

The plot of land was roughly eight times larger than the other homes in the area. It was built in 2005 on the outskirts of town, but now some other homes are nearby.

"Physical security is extraordinary: 12 to 16 foot walls, walled areas, restricted access by two security gates." The residents burn their trash, unlike their neighbors. There are no windows facing the road. One part of the compound has its own seven-foot privacy wall.

And unusual for a multi-million-dollar home: It has no telephone or internet service.

This home, US intelligence analysts concluded, was "custom built to hide someone of significance."

Il compound dove si nascondeva Osama bin Laden.

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E ora cosa succede?

Res publica   02.05.11  

L'analisi di Kristoff sul dopo Osama bin Laden.

So what does this mean? First, it is good for the United States reputation, power and influence that we finally got bin Laden. Bin Laden’s ability to escape from the U.S., and his apparent impunity, fed an image in some Islamist quarters of America as a paper tiger - and that encouraged extremists. Bin Laden himself once said that people bet on the strong horse, the horse that will win, and the killing underscores that it's the United States that is the horse to bet on. Moreover, this sends a message that you mess with America at your peril, and that there will be consequences for a terror attack on the United States.

That said, killing bin Laden does not end Al Qaeda. Ayman al-Zawahri, the Egyptian No. 2, has long played a crucial role as Al Qaeda's COO. And Al Qaeda is more of a loose network than a tightly structured organization, and that has become even more true in recent years. AQIM, the version of Al Qaeda in North Africa, is a real threat in countries like Mali and Mauritania, and killing bin Laden will probably have negligible consequences there. The AQIM terrorists may admire Osama and be inspired by him, but they also are believed to be largely independent of him. And Anwar al-Awlaki, the Qaeda-linked terrorist in Yemen, likewise won’t be deterred by bin Laden's killing - Awlaki’s ability to engage in terrorism will be affected more by the upheavals now taking place in Yemen and whether that country has a strong and legitimate government that takes counter-terrorism seriously.

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Dove si nascondeva e come è stato ucciso Osama bin Laden

Res publica   02.05.11  

Screenshot di Google Maps

Il compound dove si nascondeva Osama bin Laden

Il complesso ad Abbotabad da un milione di dollari, poco lontano da Islamabad e nei pressi di un'importante base militare pakistana, dove sino a ieri si nascondeva l'uomo più ricercato del pianeta, visto con Google Maps.

Dalla discussione venerdì, tra i vertici militari e il presidente Obama, dei dettagli dell'operazione, all'annuncio dell'uccisione. USA Today racconta le fasi della missione che ha portato 14 Navy Seal in elicottero dall'Afghanistan al rifugio - senza collegamenti internet - e al successivo scontro a fuoco con Osama bin Laden, causa della sua morte e di quella di altri quattro terroristi tra cui anche un suo figlio.

Tonight, I can report to the American people and to the world that the United States has conducted an operation that killed Osama bin Laden.

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